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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$892K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$157
62 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
44%
5 more
$1.05M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
34%
chance
Yes
No
$286K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$74
46 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
97%
20-40
29%
3 more
$170K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.73M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$150
60 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
99%
100-124
17%
3 more
$25K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
58%
December
16%
5 more
$52K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
42 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
24%
chance
Yes
No
$42K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
49 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M
99%
300M
99%
4 more
$3.4K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
34-36
35%
28-30
32%
5 more
$701.18
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$71
34 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
230-239
34%
220-229
33%
4 more
$826.33
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$74
37 trading now
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