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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Science”
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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
≤6
3%
Yes
No
7
6%
Yes
No
$15K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
39 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
2500+
99%
1800+
99%
4 more
$18K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
35 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
99%
3rd hottest
24%
2 more
$56K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yu Deng
99%
Hong Wang
99%
9 more
$661K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
0
89%
Yes
No
1
34%
Yes
No
$10K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
43 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
<400mm
42%
400-425mm
23%
8 more
$9.0K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
33 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
69%
1.25–1.29ºC
45%
4 more
$12K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
43 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31
67%
December 31
66%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
37 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
5-6"
80%
2-3"
26%
4 more
$2.7K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
41 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
2%
6 more
$10K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
99%
40-50mm
8%
5 more
$5.0K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
41 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$576K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$198
48 trading now
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